Monday, February 19, 2007

Forecasting NEWS

I just completed reading few articles relating to the entry of Ramcharan Teja, the son of Chiru, into the Telugu Cinema industry. As I was skimming through various other articles relating celebrities, a queer question arose in my mind. Can we forecast the NEWS articles beforehand????

The first answer that comes to mind is a big NO. Putting aside the natural criticism and sarcasm that might arise after hearing this, we can figure out this is something that we do in our daily lives.

Got confused????

Let me explain. For the sake of simplicity let us take the case of a person who has purchased a newspaper and boarded a train. Lets further assume that he got into a general compartment. Any person who has ever been in this situation in a real life will tell you what is going to be the next scene. Co-passengers share the pages of newspaper and are engrossed in reading and exchanging those pages. After everyone is done with the reading activity, the most enthusiastic person in the group will start giving lectures on the NEWS that caught his attention. It can be anything. Soon the monologue transforms into a dialogue and finally into a Group Discussion, typical of an Indian group. One aspect of this discussion is of utmost importance to our topic. We will surely find that most of these groups end the discussion with an opinion about what is going to happen to the issue of discussion in the Future??? Differently put, forecasting the NEWS.

Having said that we generally have a tendency to Forecast NEWS, I will try to build some models that can be used to forecast the future NEWS articles in my next post.


No comments: